Constituency

Brighton Pavilion

ONS code: E14001130
Lookup slug: brighton-pavilion

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Safe Green Party hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

GRN HOLD

Green Party forecast to win in Brighton Pavilion, South East

Winner: Green Party
Margin: 40.1% (21,002 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 70.0% / 74,786
Second place: Labour 19.4%

GRNGreen Party

59.5%+4.4 pts

LABLabour

19.4%-8.4 pts

RFMReform UK

9.6%+4.1 pts

CONConservative

7.2%-0.4 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

3.4%+0.3 pts

OthOther

0.6%-0.1 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.5%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Brighton PavilionE14001130Electorate 74,786Valid votes 52,363Invalid votes 209Majority 14,290

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Siân Berry	Green Party	28,809	55.0%	Elected
2	Tom Gray	Labour	14,519	27.7%
3	Sarah Webster	Conservative	3,975	7.6%
4	Mark Mulvihill	Reform UK	2,836	5.4%
5	Ashley Ridley	Liberal Democrat	1,604	3.1%
6	Citizen Skwith	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	257	0.5%
7	Carl Buckfield	Social Democratic Party	184	0.4%
8	Steve AI	Independent	179	0.3%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.