Constituency

Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North

ONS code: E14001095
Lookup slug: birmingham-hodge-hill-and-solihull-north

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Reform UK gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

RFM GAIN

Reform UK forecast to win in Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North, West Midlands

Winner: Reform UK
Margin: 3.2% (1,088 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 43.9% / 77,737
Second place: Workers Party of Britain 26.1%

RFMReform UK

29.3%+10.1 pts

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

26.1%-0.8 pts

LABLabour

22.5%-8.9 pts

CONConservative

11.1%-2.6 pts

GRNGreen Party

9.3%+2.3 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

2.8%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull NorthE14001095Electorate 77,737Valid votes 34,136Invalid votes 127Majority 1,566

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 4,890.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 15,545. Winner: 10,655.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Liam Byrne	Labour	10,655	31.2%	Elected
2	James Giles	Workers Party of Britain	9,089	26.6%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Jamie Pullin	Reform UK	6,456	18.9%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Caroline Clapper	Conservative	4,634	13.6%
5	Imran Khan	Green Party	2,360	6.9%
6	Qasim Esak	Liberal Democrat	942	2.8%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.