Constituency

Bicester and Woodstock

ONS code: E14001090
Lookup slug: bicester-and-woodstock

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Likely Liberal Democrat hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

LDM HOLD

Liberal Democrat forecast to win in Bicester and Woodstock, South East

Winner: Liberal Democrat
Margin: 11.4% (5,739 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 67.5% / 74,353
Second place: Conservative 27.1%

LDMLiberal Democrat

38.6%-0.1 pts

CONConservative

27.1%-1.7 pts

RFMReform UK

17.6%+6.8 pts

LABLabour

9.8%-6.6 pts

GRNGreen Party

6.4%+1.6 pts

MINMinor parties and independents

0.6%0.0 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Bicester and WoodstockE14001090Electorate 74,353Valid votes 50,219Invalid votes 167Majority 4,958

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 3,278.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 22,697. Winner: 19,419.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Calum Miller	Liberal Democrat	19,419	38.7%	Elected
2	Rupert Harrison	Conservative	14,461	28.8%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Veronica Oakeshott	Labour	8,236	16.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Augustine Obodo	Reform UK	5,408	10.8%
5	Ian Middleton	Green Party	2,404	4.8%
6	Tim Funnell	Social Democratic Party	291	0.6%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.