Constituency

Bethnal Green and Stepney

ONS code: E14001086
Lookup slug: bethnal-green-and-stepney

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Lean Minor parties and independents gain

Source updated 10/05/2026

MIN GAIN

Minor parties and independents forecast to win in Bethnal Green and Stepney, Greater London

Winner: Minor parties and independents
Margin: 5.9% (2,737 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 57.3% / 81,439
Second place: Labour 24.6%

MINMinor parties and independents

30.5%-0.1 pts

LABLabour

24.6%-9.6 pts

GRNGreen Party

17.8%+4.1 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

11.1%+0.8 pts

RFMReform UK

9.5%+5.2 pts

CONConservative

4.4%+0.3 pts

OthOther

2.6%-0.6 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Bethnal Green and StepneyE14001086Electorate 81,439Valid votes 46,647Invalid votes 320Majority 1,689

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 4,702.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 20,598. Winner: 15,896.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Rushanara Ali	Labour	15,896	34.1%	Elected
2	Ajmal Masroor	Independent	14,207	30.5%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Phoebe Gill	Green Party	6,391	13.7%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Rabina Khan	Liberal Democrat	4,777	10.2%
5	Peter Sceats	Reform UK	1,964	4.2%
6	Oscar Reaney	Conservative	1,920	4.1%
7	Vanessa Hudson	Animal Welfare Party	348	0.7%
8	Sham Uddin	Independent	325	0.7%
9	Md Somon Ahmed	Independent	315	0.7%
10	Reggie Adams	Independent	271	0.6%
11	Jon Mabbutt	Social Democratic Party	233	0.5%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.