Constituency

Aldridge-Brownhills

ONS code: E14001064
Lookup slug: aldridge-brownhills

Our Recommendation

TBD

Confidence

High

Strong likelihood of
beating the left

Last reviewed

15 May 2024

Updated daily

Local recommendation

Candidate recommendation pending

PollSignal has matched this route to the local constituency record. Candidate and tactical voting evidence will appear here when the recommendation dataset is connected.

Election Maps nowcast

Tilt Conservative hold

Source updated 10/05/2026

CON HOLD

Conservative forecast to win in Aldridge-Brownhills, West Midlands

Winner: Conservative
Margin: 0.9% (357 votes)
Turnout / electorate: 58.2% / 70,268
Second place: Reform UK 35.1%

CONConservative

35.9%-2.9 pts

RFMReform UK

35.1%+10.9 pts

LABLabour

19.0%-9.4 pts

GRNGreen Party

5.5%+1.3 pts

LDMLiberal Democrat

4.4%+0.1 pts

SNPScottish National Party

0.0%change not recorded

MINMinor parties and independents

0.0%0.0 pts

OthOther

0.0%0.0 pts

PLCPlaid Cymru

Not recordedchange not recorded

WPBWorkers Party of Britain

Not recordedchange not recorded

Labour 248 seatsConservative 137 seatsReform UK 114 seatsLiberal Democrat 71 seatsGreen Party 5 seats

Election Maps UK Westminster nowcast: Nowcast data from Election Maps UK.

House of Commons results

General election results

Only real Westminster general elections since 2010 are shown. The rows below are linked by exact Parliament constituency code or exact Parliament constituency name.

2024 general election

Aldridge-BrownhillsE14001064Electorate 70,268Valid votes 40,912Invalid votes 156Majority 4,294

Tactical voting signal2nd and 3rd combined votes exceeded the winner by 5,609.Combined 2nd + 3rd votes: 21,510. Winner: 15,901.

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Wendy Morton	Conservative	15,901	38.9%	Elected
2	Luke Davies	Labour	11,607	28.4%	2nd + 3rd signal
3	Graham Eardley	Reform UK	9,903	24.2%	2nd + 3rd signal
4	Ian Garrett	Liberal Democrat	1,755	4.3%
5	Clare Nash	Green Party	1,746	4.3%

2019 general election

Aldridge-BrownhillsE14000531Electorate 60,138Valid votes 39,342Invalid votes 152Majority 19,836

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Wendy Morton	Conservative	27,850	70.8%	Elected
2	David Morgan	Labour	8,014	20.4%
3	Ian Garrett	Liberal Democrat	2,371	6.0%
4	Bill McComish	Green Party	771	2.0%
5	Mark Beech	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	336	0.9%

2017 general election

Aldridge-BrownhillsE14000531Electorate 60,363Valid votes 40,235Invalid votes 87Majority 14,307

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Wendy Morton	Conservative	26,317	65.4%	Elected
2	John Fisher	Labour	12,010	29.8%
3	Ian Garrett	Liberal Democrat	1,343	3.3%
4	Mark Beech	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	565	1.4%

2015 general election

Aldridge-BrownhillsE14000531Electorate 60,215Valid votes 39,497Invalid votes 105Majority 11,723

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Wendy Morton	Conservative	20,558	52.0%	Elected
2	John Fisher	Labour	8,835	22.4%
3	Anthony Thompson	UK Independence Party	7,751	19.6%
4	Ian Garrett	Liberal Democrat	1,330	3.4%
5	Martyn Curzey	Green Party	826	2.1%
6	Mark Beech	Official Monster Raving Loony Party	197	0.5%

2010 general election

Aldridge-BrownhillsE14000531Electorate 58,909Valid votes 38,634Invalid votes 177Majority 15,266

Position	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Result
1	Richard Shepherd	Conservative	22,913	59.3%	Elected
2	Ashiq Hussain	Labour	7,647	19.8%
3	Ian Jenkins	Liberal Democrat	6,833	17.7%
4	Karl McNaughton	Green Party	847	2.2%
5	Susan Gray	Christian Party, Proclaiming Christ's Lordship	394	1.0%

Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0.